Kenya's Non-NATO Ally Status Faces Scrutiny as US Congress Probes Ruto Administration

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Kenya's prestigious designation as a Major Non-NATO Ally (MNNA) of the United States, granted just over a year ago on June 24, 2024, is now at risk following a US Congressional proposal to reassess the partnership. The move, spearheaded by Idaho Senator Jim Risch, a senior member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, comes amid serious concerns over alleged human rights abuses, extrajudicial killings, and Kenya's controversial ties to Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The review, mandated by an amendment to the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2026, signals a potential shift in US-Kenya relations, with significant implications for Kenya's defense, security, and economic ties with Washington.

Kenya became the first sub-Saharan African nation to secure MNNA status during President William Ruto's historic state visit to Washington in May 2024, the first such visit by an African head of state in 15 years. The designation, while largely symbolic, carries significant political weight, reinforcing Kenya's role as a key US partner in Africa. It was seen as a reward for Nairobi's cooperation in counterterrorism efforts, including hosting US military installations in Manda and Wajir, and its support for Western positions, such as condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The status also grants Kenya preferential access to US security cooperation, including loans for military equipment and the ability for Kenyan companies to bid on contracts for maintenance and repair of US Department of Defense equipment outside the United States.

However, less than a year after this milestone, recent developments in Nairobi have raised alarm in Washington, prompting US legislators to call for a formal reassessment of the partnership. The review, which must begin within 90 days of the amendment's enactment and conclude with a report to Congress within 180 days, will scrutinize several critical aspects of Kenya's foreign and domestic policies.

At the heart of the Congressional probe are allegations of human rights abuses under President Ruto's administration, particularly during anti-government protests in 2024 and 2025. According to the Kenya National Commission on Human Rights (KNCHR), at least 128 people have been killed, over 1,400 arrested, and nearly 100 abducted, with some still missing. Opposition leaders have accused the Kenya Kwanza administration of deploying rogue police units and militia groups to suppress dissent, drawing comparisons to tactics used in Haiti. A BBC documentary titled "Blood Parliament" further intensified these concerns, alleging premeditated killings of peaceful protesters by a clandestine unit within Kenya's security agencies, reportedly acting under orders from senior state officials.

One particularly contentious incident involves the abduction of seven Turkish nationals in Nairobi in October 2024. The individuals, identified as Mustafa Genç, Abdullah Genç, Huseyin Yesilsu, Necdet Seyitoglu, Oztürk Uzun, Alparslan Tasci, and Saadet, were critics of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Four of them held refugee status in Kenya and were awaiting asylum in third countries. They were seized by Turkish intelligence and deported to Turkey, where they now face criminal charges. This incident has drawn sharp criticism from US lawmakers, who question whether Kenya misused US security and intelligence support to facilitate such actions.

Another focal point of the US investigation is Kenya's alleged links to Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a paramilitary group involved in Sudan's ongoing civil war. The RSF, led by Mohamed Hamdan "Hemedti" Dagalo, is under US sanctions for its role in procuring weapons and fueling the conflict. Concerns have been raised about Kenyan officials potentially assisting blacklisted individuals, including RSF members, in stashing money within Kenya's financial systems. The Congressional proposal specifically calls for an assessment of Kenya as a financial safe haven for individuals and entities on the US Office of Foreign Assets Control's Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons list, as well as its relationships with non-state armed groups like the RSF and Somalia's Al-Shabaab.

President Ruto's hosting of Hemedti and his deputy, Abdulrahim Dagalo, in Nairobi has further fueled suspicions. Kenya's perceived neutrality in Sudan's war, coupled with reports that Ruto traveled to Juba with Abdulrahim Dagalo in November 2024, has raised eyebrows in Washington and among UN diplomats. Critics argue that Nairobi's engagement with the RSF undermines its role as a regional mediator and its commitments under the MNNA designation.

The Congressional review also targets Kenya's broader foreign policy, particularly its relationships with China, Russia, and Iran. Ruto's administration has been accused of walking a diplomatic tightrope, courting both Western and Eastern powers. Nairobi's interest in joining BRICS, a bloc led by China and Russia, and Ruto's hosting of Iran's late president, Ebrahim Raisi, in 2024, despite US sanctions on Tehran, have been flagged as provocative. Joshua Meservey, a Senior Fellow at the Hudson Institute, told Congress that Ruto's engagement with Iran, which he described as a "critical strategic partner," signals a lack of allegiance to Washington. The review will examine any military, security, or financial agreements between Kenya and these nations since June 2024, as well as the political and financial ties of Kenya's ruling elite.

Kenya's delicate balancing act has drawn mixed reactions. International relations analyst Mike Ombachi noted that few African states can successfully navigate such a complex geopolitical landscape. While Kenya hosts US military installations and supports American counterterrorism efforts, its growing ties with Beijing and Tehran have raised concerns about its reliability as a US ally.

If Kenya's MNNA status is revoked, the repercussions could be significant. The designation provides access to cooperative research, development, testing, and evaluation of military equipment, as well as loans of materials and supplies. Losing this status would limit Kenya's ability to acquire advanced US military technology and could impact its defense capabilities, particularly in counterterrorism operations. Additionally, Kenyan companies would lose the opportunity to bid on lucrative US Department of Defense contracts, potentially affecting the country's economy.

The loss of MNNA status could also strain US-Kenya bilateral relations, reducing Washington's military and intelligence support. This is particularly critical given the outdated equipment supplied to Kenya's military, such as the ageing helicopters blamed for the 2024 crash that killed General Francis Ogolla, Kenya's only four-star general. Furthermore, the revocation could damage Kenya's international standing, signaling a retreat from its role as a key US partner in Africa.

Kenya's Foreign Affairs Principal Secretary, Korir Sing'Oei, has sought to downplay the concerns, assuring the public that the issues raised in the Congressional bill will be comprehensively addressed while prioritizing Kenya's sovereignty and national interests. However, opposition leaders have been more vocal, accusing Ruto's administration of enabling extrajudicial killings, land grabbing, and political suppression. They have vowed to escalate these allegations to the International Criminal Court (ICC), citing violations of the Rome Statute and Kenya's Constitution. The opposition has also questioned the credibility of local accountability mechanisms, calling for an independent investigative commission to address the alleged human rights abuses.

The scrutiny of Kenya's MNNA status comes at a time of heightened domestic and international tension. Domestically, Ruto faces criticism for failing to address the rising cost of living and for reappointing controversial cabinet ministers despite public outcry. The KNCHR's reports of widespread arrests and abductions during protests have further eroded public trust in his administration. Internationally, Kenya's role as a regional mediator, including its leadership in the Haiti Multinational Security Support Mission and peace initiatives in the Democratic Republic of Congo, is under strain due to these allegations.

The US review also reflects broader concerns about Washington's influence in Africa, particularly as China and Russia expand their presence on the continent. Kenya's strategic importance as a counterterrorism platform and a hub for US military operations makes the outcome of this review critical not only for Nairobi but also for the US's broader African strategy.

As the US Congress prepares to conduct its review, the international community will closely watch how Kenya navigates this diplomatic crisis. The findings, expected within 180 days, could redefine US-Kenya relations and impact Kenya's standing in global geopolitics. For now, Ruto's administration faces the challenge of addressing these serious allegations while maintaining its delicate balance between Western and Eastern alliances. The outcome of this probe will determine whether Kenya can retain its hard-earned MNNA status or face a rollback of its military and economic ties with the United States.